Trump’s Latest Gambit: A Subtle Diplomatic Overture or a Calculated Economic Play?
By: Sadek Al-Rikaby* A terse tweet from US President Donald Trump, hinting that China can now continue to purchase Iranian oil, has sparked a fresh wave of speculation across geopolitical and economic spheres. The significance of this statement stems from…
Market Resilience Defies Middle East Turmoil
De-escalation and Calm Risk Assessment Recent weeks have seen limited military escalation between Iran and Israel, including retaliatory attacks, which initially triggered concern in markets. However, the market’s reaction hasn’t reflected this alarm with the same intensity that the nature…
How might Trump’s “Make Iran Great Again” harm the economy of ‘Great America’?
Introduction: The Paradox of Presidential Slogans Donald Trump’s presidential campaign promises have always centered on the slogan “Make America Great Again” (MAGA), built on fostering a strong and prosperous U.S. economy: creating jobs, curbing inflation, achieving energy self-sufficiency, and reducing…
Hormuz: A Looming Danger… Can the Global Economy Survive?
A Three-Dimensional Shock to Energy Markets The Strait of Hormuz serves as an indispensable lifeline for global energy supplies. Approximately 17 to 20 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil and refined petroleum products transit the Strait, accounting for…
Beijing’s Risky Calculus: US-China Tensions Fuel Strategic Support for Iran
Amidst volatile geopolitical dynamics and escalating regional conflicts, mounting reports alleging China’s provision of sensitive military equipment to Iran underscore a deeper reality: Beijing’s support for Tehran is not an isolated reaction but a profound reflection of its long-term strategic…
Have Syrians Escaped the Specter of Division?
By Mohammad Ammar Khaled Al-Saeed* Yesterday, Syrians celebrated what many described as a national milestone, if not a dream come true—the downfall of the tyrant who fled the country after years of oppressive rule. Yet, while the people’s uprising succeeded…
France’s Strategic Shift in the Middle East: Navigating Ties with Iraq Post-Coalition Withdrawal
France’s New Approach As its political and military influence wanes in Africa, France seeks to bolster its presence in the Middle East, specifically Iraq. While Iraqi Prime Minister Muhamad Shia Al-Sudani called for the international coalition, led by the United…
The Impact of Red Sea Tensions on the Global Economy
The Red Sea in the Spotlight Since the outbreak of conflict in Gaza, escalating events suggest a widening scope of the conflict to encompass broader regions in the Middle East. Daily military incidents along the Lebanese border, missile strikes, and…
Will Iraq’s Economy Escape the Ramifications of the Gaza War?
Confronting the factions The aftermath of the recent war in Gaza has quickly expanded to encompass other countries in the region, including Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. American bases in both Syria and Iraq witnessed multiple missile and drone attacks…